Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 9.040544e-05 0.000107 0.000125 0.000145 0.000168 0.000191 0.000219
2025-01-05 6.832309e-05 0.000090 0.000115 0.000145 0.000179 0.000218 0.000264
2025-01-12 5.402413e-05 0.000077 0.000105 0.000140 0.000182 0.000230 0.000288
2025-01-19 4.631106e-05 0.000071 0.000103 0.000144 0.000194 0.000253 0.000327
2025-01-26 3.697823e-05 0.000062 0.000094 0.000138 0.000194 0.000260 0.000345
2025-02-02 3.163091e-05 0.000057 0.000091 0.000139 0.000201 0.000277 0.000374
2025-02-09 2.659373e-05 0.000052 0.000087 0.000138 0.000205 0.000289 0.000397
2025-02-16 2.422563e-05 0.000050 0.000088 0.000143 0.000217 0.000311 0.000434
2025-02-23 2.117036e-05 0.000047 0.000086 0.000144 0.000224 0.000326 0.000461
2025-03-02 1.688290e-05 0.000041 0.000079 0.000139 0.000222 0.000329 0.000474
2025-03-09 1.394355e-05 0.000037 0.000075 0.000136 0.000223 0.000337 0.000492
2025-03-16 1.176636e-05 0.000034 0.000073 0.000135 0.000226 0.000347 0.000513
2025-03-23 1.003134e-05 0.000032 0.000071 0.000137 0.000234 0.000365 0.000545
2025-03-30 8.016490e-06 0.000029 0.000068 0.000136 0.000238 0.000376 0.000570
2025-04-06 6.041063e-06 0.000025 0.000064 0.000132 0.000237 0.000382 0.000587
2025-04-13 5.233473e-06 0.000024 0.000063 0.000135 0.000247 0.000402 0.000623
2025-04-20 3.732225e-06 0.000021 0.000059 0.000130 0.000244 0.000404 0.000635
2025-04-27 3.015138e-06 0.000019 0.000057 0.000131 0.000249 0.000419 0.000664
2025-05-04 2.284398e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000129 0.000252 0.000429 0.000687
2025-05-11 2.038534e-06 0.000017 0.000056 0.000134 0.000264 0.000453 0.000728
2025-05-18 1.629476e-06 0.000016 0.000055 0.000135 0.000271 0.000468 0.000758
2025-05-25 1.022432e-06 0.000013 0.000051 0.000130 0.000267 0.000468 0.000768
2025-06-01 6.730957e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000128 0.000267 0.000475 0.000786